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In recent trading, shares of Horizon Pharma plc (NASDAQ:HZNP) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $20.50, changing hands for $20.91/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade on valuation, or, re-adjust their target price to a higher level. Analyst reaction may also depend on the fundamental business developments that may be responsible for driving the stock price higher if things are looking up for the company, perhaps it is time for that target price to be raised.

There are 8 different analyst targets contributing to that average for Horizon Pharma plc, but the average is just that a mathematical average. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one looking for a price of $16.00. And then on the other side of the spectrum one analyst has a target as high as $24.00. The standard deviation is $2.927.

But the whole reason to look at the average HZNP price target in the first place is to tap into a "wisdom of crowds" effort, putting together the contributions of all the individual minds who contributed to the ultimate number, as opposed to what just one particular expert believes. And so with HZNP crossing above that average target price of $20.50/share, investors in HZNP have been given a good signal to spend fresh time assessing the company and deciding for themselves: is $20.50 just one stop on the way to an even higher target, or has the valuation gotten stretched to the point where it is time to think about taking some chips off the table? Below is a table showing the current thinking of the analysts that cover Horizon Pharma plc:

Recent HZNP Analyst Ratings Breakdown
Current 1 Month Ago 2 Month Ago 3 Month Ago
Strong buy ratings: 6 6 6 6
Buy ratings: 0 0 0 0
Hold ratings: 2 1 0 1
Sell ratings: 0 0 0 0
Strong sell ratings: 0 0 0 0
Average rating: 1.5 1.29 1.0 1.29

The average rating presented in the last row of the above table above is from 1 to 5 where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Strong Sell. This article used data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com. Get the latest Zacks research report on HZNP FREE.


This Article's Word Cloud:   Analyst   Average   Below   Breakdown   Current   ETFs   FREE   HZNP   Hold   Horizon   Investment   Month   Most   Pharma   Quandl   Ratings   Recent   Research   Sell   Start   Strong   Targets   There   This   Upside   When   With   Zacks   above   analyst   analysts   average   company   have   higher   just   looking   price   rating   ratings   share   stock   table   target   targets   that   time   valuation   where   with

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