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Analysts Forecast 19% Upside For The Holdings of PFM

By Dividend Channel Staff, Friday, October 27, 7:10 AM ET
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Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the Invesco Dividend Achievers ETF (NASDAQ:PFM), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $42.38 per unit.

With PFM trading at a recent price near $35.65 per unit, that means that analysts see 18.88% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of PFM's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Gorman-Rupp Company (NYSE:GRC), WaFd Inc (NASDAQ:WAFD), and CTO Realty Growth Inc (NYSE:CTO). Although GRC has traded at a recent price of $30.08/share, the average analyst target is 34.64% higher at $40.50/share. Similarly, WAFD has 26.74% upside from the recent share price of $24.46 if the average analyst target price of $31.00/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting CTO to reach a target price of $19.90/share, which is 26.27% above the recent price of $15.76. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of GRC, WAFD, and CTO:

GRC, WAFD, and CTO Relative Performance Chart

Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
Invesco Dividend Achievers ETF PFM $35.65 $42.38 18.88%
Gorman-Rupp Company GRC $30.08 $40.50 34.64%
WaFd Inc WAFD $24.46 $31.00 26.74%
CTO Realty Growth Inc CTO $15.76 $19.90 26.27%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
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This Article's Word Cloud:   Achievers   Analyst   Below   Company   Dividend   ETFs   FREEGet   Gorman   Growth   Invesco   NYSE   Realty   Rupp   Target   Upside   WAFD   WaFd   With   Zacks   about   above   analyst   analysts   average   background   based   border   bottom   color   data   font   from   have   hctblstyle   holdings   implied   latest   mdash   month   price   recent   report   research   share   target   targets   that   trading   underlying   upside

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